Weekly Market Update by Retirement Lifestyle Advocates

          Last week, I discussed the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and the harsh realities of the fractional reserve banking system.

          Since I wrote that piece last week, there have been more bank failures and bank rescue packages.

          Signature Bank followed Silicon Valley Bank.  Credit Suisse was propped up with a $54 billion loan from the central bank of Switzerland.  First Republic Bank is being bailed out by bigger banks.

          As I have been stating here for a VERY long time, when there is too much debt to be paid, it won’t be paid.  And, since banks have debt as assets, when debt goes unpaid, banks fail.

          In the case of Signature Bank, there is an interesting ancillary story.

          First, the facts around the Signature Bank failure.  While I am no longer a fan of the editorial content of “Forbes,” the magazine did report on the Signature Bank failure (Source:  https://www.forbes.com/sites/brianbushard/2023/03/13/what-happened-to-signature-bank-the-latest-bank-failure-marks-third-largest-in-history/?sh=b4456b890ff6):

Signature Bank, a New York-based regional bank that became a leader in cryptocurrency lending, shuttered suddenly on Sunday, marking the third-biggest bank failure in U.S. history just two days after the country’s second biggest failure, Silicon Valley Bank, rocked the stock market and reignited fears of “challenging and turbulent” economic times.

New York’s Department of Financial Services announced Sunday it had taken possession of the bank, which had more than $110 billion in assets and more than $88 billion in deposits as of the end of last year.

Signature Bank became the third regional bank to collapse in a matter of weeks, following the high-profile collapse of California-based crypto-friendly banks Silvergate Bank and Silicon Valley Bank, whose failure spooked investors wary of widespread financial vulnerability.

          Interestingly, one of the Signature Bank board members is former US Congressman and co-sponsor of the Dodd-Frank Act, Mr. Barney Frank.

          If you’re not familiar with the Dodd-Frank Act, it was passed in 2010 in response to the banking failures at the time of the Great Financial Crisis.  Dodd-Frank (among other things) created the Financial Stability Oversight Council.  According to the Dodd-Frank Act, the FSOC has three primary purposes (Source:  https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/financial-stability-oversight-council.asp):

1. "To identify risks to the financial stability of the United States that could arise from the material financial distress or failure, or ongoing activities, of large, interconnected bank holding companies or nonbank financial companies, or that could arise outside the financial services marketplace.
2. To promote market discipline by eliminating expectations on the part of shareholders, creditors, and counterparties of such companies that the U.S. government will shield them from losses in the event of failure.
3. To respond to emerging threats to the stability of the U.S. financial system."

I find number 2 above especially interesting.  Reading it, one would logically conclude that bailouts would be a thing of the past.  But, as we all know, bailouts are once again being used to make depositors, even uninsured depositors, whole.  This from “CBS News” (Source:  https://www.cbsnews.com/news/silicon-valley-bank-signature-bank-collapse-joe-biden-cbs-news-explains/)

The startling collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank continued to ripple across the American economy even as the U.S. raced to stabilize the banking system.

In a bid to contain the risk of contagion, financial regulators announced Sunday that they will guarantee all deposits at the banks, while President Biden said Monday that "Americans can have confidence that the banking system is safe."

          In the case of the Signature Bank failure, there is an interesting, ironic side story.  Seems that the co-sponsor of the Dodd-Frank Act, former congressman Barney Frank, is on the Board of Directors of Signature Bank.  This from “The Wall Street Journal” (Source: https://www.wsj.com/articles/barney-frank-signature-bank-failure-silicon-valley-bank-dodd-frank-congress-elizabeth-warren-d1588178?mod=djemalertNEWS):

Life is full of irony, but it’s hard to think of a richer one than Barney Frank sitting on the board of the failed Signature Bank. The former Congressman who was the scourge of Wall Street, the co-author of the Dodd-Frank Act that was supposed to keep the banking system safe, wasn’t able to prevent his bank from becoming one of the first casualties of the latest bank panic. 

It’s amusing to think of Mr. Frank cashing a check as a bank director, but then even left-wing former Congressmen have to make a living. And in Mr. Frank’s case it has been a nice one, with cash compensation of $121,750 and stock awards of $180,182 in 2022 alone. He’s been on the board since 2015. Perhaps out of office and late in life, Mr. Frank developed a strange new respect for capitalism.

Mr. Frank once famously said he wanted to “roll the dice” to ramp up lending on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac before they failed. Signature seems to have done the same as it dove into crypto during the Federal Reserve-fueled financial mania.

In recent interviews, Mr. Frank is blaming crypto for the bank’s demise in the wake of the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) closure on Friday. He told Politico that Signature was in good shape as recently as Friday, but was then hit by “the nervousness and beyond nervousness from SVB and crypto.” He said the bank is the “unfortunate victim of the panic that really goes back to FTX,” the failed crypto exchange.

Mr. Frank seems to blame regulators for taking a needlessly hard line against Signature because of crypto. “I think that if we’d been allowed to open tomorrow, that we could’ve continued,” Mr. Frank told Bloomberg. “We have a solid loan book, we’re the biggest lender in New York City under the low-income housing tax credit.”

We sympathize with Mr. Frank because the Biden Administration really does want to purge the U.S. banking system of any dealings with crypto companies. It may be that the regulators decided to roll up Signature Bank because of its crypto association. It wouldn’t be the first time regulators saw an opening in a crisis to achieve a political goal by other means.

If Mr. Frank is right, he now knows how hundreds of thousands of other people in business feel when regulators panic for political reasons and look for businesses to shut or blame.

As for the failure of Dodd-Frank’s regulatory machinery to prevent the latest bank failures, Mr. Frank is taking no blame. He says the reforms made the system sturdier, and he also dismisses claims by Sen. Elizabeth Warren that some modest Trump-era changes in bank rules for mid-sized banks made a difference.

“I don’t think that had any effect,” Mr. Frank told Bloomberg. “I don’t think there was any laxity on the part of regulators in regulating the banks in that category, from $50 billion to $250 billion.” He ought to know from where he sat on the Signature board.

Mr. Frank is getting a painful education in the difficulty of running a company when politicians don’t like the business you’re in.

          The reality is, as I noted last week, that under the fractional reserve banking system, even banks that would be considered healthy by current standards can be taken out by a bank run by depositors.  This is a reality that was reiterated in a recent MSNBC interview by former FDIC Chair, Sheila Bair.  (Source:  https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/companies/banking-system-on-the-verge-of-a-bear-stearns-moment-former-fdic-chair/ar-AA18LP2A)

Bair added that the "immediate problem" posed by the situation in the banking system is "if people start to panic and take deposits out of a perfectly healthy bank, they're going to force that bank to close."

"It's the classic Jimmy Stewart problem," she told host Neil Cavuto. "We deposit money into a bank, they lend it out, they invest it in securities, it's not all sitting in a vault. If you try to get all the money out at once, you're going to force the bank to unnecessarily fail."

According to Bair, actions taken by the government have created "mass confusion" that could cause efforts to support the banking system to backfire. Acknowledging there are some banks with problems, she also emphasized that only a small percentage of the overall banking system has issues.

"[The government is] trying to imply that all uninsured are protected, which they don't have legal authority to do, frankly, and this is putting pressure on community banks," she said. "It's really troubling."

          The radio program this week features an interview with first-time guest, Mr. Egon von Greyerz.  Mr. von Greyerz is the founder and managing partner of Matterhorn Asset Management, located in Zurich.

          I chat with Egon about the $1.5 to $2 quadrillion in derivatives that exist worldwide and get his take on how it all plays out.  We also discuss the worldwide debt that now exceeds $300 trillion, up from $100 trillion at the time of the Great Financial Crisis.

          I also get Mr. von Greyerz’s opinion on the viability of central bank issued digital currencies.

          It’s an information-packed interview that I would encourage you to check out.

          You can listen to the show now by clicking on the "Podcast" tab at the top of this page.

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                                                                -Mark Twain