The Fed is painted into the proverbial corner; keep printing and the outcome is stagflation or begin to tighten monetary policy and risk a deflationary collapse.
Private central banks are pursuing policies that make the wealthy even wealthier while lower-income and middle-income workers see a greater percentage of their paychecks going to cover the cost-of-living essentials.
Stocks look even more extended this week. Gold and silver are beginning to look more bullish and despite a bad week for US Treasuries, we remain technically bullish on the long bond for now.
The current economic policies being pursued will likely result in the realization of Thomas Jefferson’s warning to us more than 200 years ago.
Massive new money creation being distributed as helicopter money to the masses is creating a banana republic look in the United States.
When looking at the economy and the markets, the current climate is just flat-out nonsensical.
When looking at the financial and economic news and attempting to find one word to describe what I am observing - surreal is the word that comes to mind.
The very extended markets became more extended last week. The Dow advanced nearly 2% and the S&P 500 rallied 2.71%. Gold, silver, and US Treasuries also rallied although the US Treasury rally was not significant.
“It was self-serving politicians who convinced recent generations of Americans that we could all stand in a circle with our hands in each other’s pockets and somehow get rich.” -Paul Harvey
Stocks remain in an uptrend although the NASDAQ and emerging market stocks gave us a bearish signal this month. Short-term bear market trends in US Treasuries, gold, and the volatility index are extended meaning a reversal in these trends could occur at any time.