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Using the longstanding and widely accepted definition of recession, the United States now finds herself smack in the middle of one.

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This week in “Portfolio Watch”. I’m going to discuss a topic that I am often asked about; that is the manipulation of the precious metals markets. More specifically, are the prices of precious metals manipulated?

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Ironically, the painful deflationary period will probably not be avoided. In fact, we may be witnessing the onset of such a period presently. Stocks are down significantly year to date and I believe real estate will soon follow.

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The reality of the current economic situation no matter what the week-to-week market numbers might say is that there is too much debt in both the private sector and on the public balance sheet to ever be paid with ‘honest’ money.

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Only politicians and members of the Federal Reserve Board are suggesting that we will not see a recession.  If history teaches us anything about the prognostications of politicians and policymakers it is that these are attempts to control or direct the narrative rather than being legitimate forecasts.

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Russia gets to keep her gold and will not be allowed to exchange her gold for devaluing US Dollars. That’s punishment?

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Last week stocks fell hard, US Treasuries declined as did gold and silver.

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Private sector debt levels are about the same as when the Great Depression began but US Government debt is about 8 times greater when measured as a percentage of GDP.

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Due to the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve, we are now experiencing inflation but we will not avoid a painful deflationary environment.

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This week’s holiday issue of “Portfolio Watch” is a preview of that Special Report.

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